Archive for August, 2010

*Falling fertility* hinders global growth…

August 30, 2010 Leave a comment

Headline changed due to the following quote from below:

“Solutions suggested […] included […] rewarding families for raising children.” Note that “falling fertility” is also explicitly mentioned below.

Human interference in fertility rates has caused this problem & yet again, the man-made solution is sub-optimal at best & completely in the wrong direction at worst.

Also see this post for some non-intuitive information on this topic: Be fruitful and multiply and fill the earth… (Gen 1:28)

Early retirement hinders global growth – expert

Nov 26 2002 12:43

Singapore – Allowing people to work longer instead of making them retire would help solve declining global growth, an expert said in a Singapore report on Tuesday.

“We need to abandon the notion that people have to retire at a certain age,” The Business Times quoted Richard Jackson, from the US Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), as saying.

“There is a misconception that the productivity declines for older workers,” Jackson said.

While it is true for some blue-collar workers, it is not true for “knowledge workers,” he stressed.

If developing nations fail to confront their ageing challenge, East Asia faces a future of slower growth, widespread capital shortages, declining export markets and rising protectionism, Jackson said at a forum here.

A CSIS projection said falling fertility and rising longevity could increase the proportion of the developed world’s population aged 65 and above to 27% by 2050, up from 15% in 2000.

The projected percentage of population aged 65 and above for the developing world is 14% in 2050 from 6% in 2000.

Solutions suggested by Jackson included the scaling back of public pension schemes, encouraging later retirement and rewarding families for raising children. – Sapa-DPA

Categories: Culture

Experts: ‘Big One’ could come soon

August 23, 2010 Leave a comment

It seems like earthquakes may be increasing. That would be the alternative way to say “more frequent than previously thought”… assuming that previous calculations may have been correct.

“There will be earthquakes in various places, and famines. These are the beginning of birth pains.” – Mark 13:8

Experts: ‘Big One’ could come soon…

2010-08-21 11:01

Los Angeles – Strong earthquakes along the San Andreas fault in southern California are more frequent than previously thought, so the dreaded “Big One” could be just around the corner, US researchers said Friday in a study.

University of California at Irvine and Arizona State University scientists examined the geological record stretching back 700 years along the fault line 160km northwest of Los Angeles.

They found that strong earthquakes – between 6.5 and 7.9 magnitude – shook the area every 45-144 years, instead of the previously established 250-400 years.

Since the last big 7.9 magnitude earthquake struck southern California in 1857, or 153 years ago, scientists believe the next “Big One” could happen at any time.

The scientists on Friday provided an abstract of their study, which will be published in full in the September 1 issue of the magazine Geology.

“What we know is for the last 700 years, earthquakes on the southern San Andreas fault have been much more frequent than everyone thought,” said the study’s lead author Sinan Akciz.

“Data presented here contradict previously published reports,” he added.

People urged to take precautions

With 37 million people living in southern California, chiefly in the cities of Los Angeles, San Diego and Anaheim, a major earthquake could kill between 2 000 and 50 000 people and cause billions of dollars in damage, scientists said.

UCI seismologist Lisa Grant Ludwig, the study’s chief investigator, said people in the area should already be taking precautions.

“There are storm clouds gathered on the horizon. Does that mean it’s definitely going to rain? No, but when you have that many clouds, you think, I’m going to take my umbrella with me today.’ That’s what this research does: It gives us a chance to prepare,” she said.

For individuals, that means having ample water and other supplies on hand, safeguarding possessions in advance, and establishing family emergency plans.

For regulators, Ludwig advocates new policies requiring earthquake risk signs on unsafe buildings and forcing inspectors in home-sale transactions to disclose degrees of risk.

Some things, she added however, remain unpredictable, especially Los Angeles’ troublesome highway grid, which in the best of times gets hopelessly choked in traffic.

Ludwig said the new data “puts the exclamation point” on the need for state residents and policymakers to be prepared.


Categories: News, Science
%d bloggers like this: